in the vicinityVideoNY Times says, 3 different projection models show to Trump 2020 win
The combination of a strong economy, and the built-in advantages for the incumbent President Trump will give a “huge” advantage in his bid for re-election, Steven Rattner wrote in the New York Times.
The combination of a strong economy, and the built-in advantages for a well-established is President Trump a “huge” advantage in his bid for re-election, according to a New York Times op-ed.
Steven Rattner, the counselor to the Treasury Secretary in the Obama administration and industry, rescue operations, worked in the automotive, said in his piece, the three separate projection models currently point to a win for Trump.
A model of Ray Fair, professor at Yale University, projects Trump-2020-vote-share as high as 56 percent in view of the economic boom, but this does not account for voters ‘ problems with the president’s personality.
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“As recent polls show if the election were today, he would Biden lose most of the Democratic hopefuls by a substantial margin; in the case of Joe, of almost 8 percentage points,” said Rattner.
A recent Fox News poll showed Democratic presidential front-runner Joe Biden with a double-digit lead over trump.
Exhibition model -that of Barack Obama’s vote share showed, almost to the point — should trump received 54 percent of the vote in 2016, but Trump has even 48.8% in front of Hillary Clinton.
“I am quite confident that the gap is a function of the generally unfavorable placement on Mr Trump was to be the personal qualities,” wrote Rattner.
A Monmouth University poll last week showed only 37 percent of voters believe Trump should be re-elected, while 60 percent prefer a new President.
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Rattner said that in addition to the exhibition, two other projection models Trump give a clear edge.
“Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, has looked at 12 different models, and Mr Trump wins in all of them. Donald Luskin of trend Macrolytics has wrote the same conclusion in his investigation of the election Committee,” Rattner.