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Nate Silver dismisses Russian trolls influence on the election in 2016

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FiveThirtyEight-editor-in-chief Nate Silver poo-pooed the idea that the Russian trolls really helped, President Trump’s defeat of Hillary Clinton in 2016 elections in a series of tweets on Monday.

It all started when MSNBC host Chris Hayes, someone mocked a meme, allegedly produced by the Russians, in which Jesus advises addicted to masturbating. Liberal journalist Ted Ganoways joked that Cambridge Analytica s Facebook-identified data, a group of likely Republican voters, the “compulsive masturbators” – but also silver do not appear amused.

“It is far more likely that the Russians were only a series of throwing s— on the wall and see what stuck, and that based on Cambridge Analytica data would not have been much more effective, than if you it happen,” silver on Twitter in response.

“If you have a list of the most important factors in the election of 2016, wrote, I am sure that the Russian social media would be memes under the top 100.”

— Nate Silver

The famous statistician: “If you wrote a list of the most important factors in the choice in 2016, I’m sure that the Russian social media would be memes under the top 100. The scale was quite small and there is not much evidence that they were effective.”

Silver then pointed to a Washington Post story that “makes a big deal about one (after the elections), a Russian social-media-disinformation-campaign, Bob Mueller,” but mocked him for his to only 5,000 tweets, the “nothing” in the Grand scheme of things.

“Platform-wide, there are something like 500,000,000 tweets posted each day,” Silver wrote. “What fraction of the total social media impressions have been generated on the 2016 election, the Russian troll farms? 0.1%? I’m not sure what the answer is, but suspect it is low, and it says something that none of the reports, the hype treat the importance of this question.”

“What fraction of the total social media impressions have been generated on the 2016 election, the Russian troll farms? 0.1%? I’m not sure what the answer is, but suspect it is low.”

— Nate Silver

Silver continued his statement on Tuesday, noting that “it is pretty bad, rest of the difference between expectations and reality and attribute to Russia”, and said he could be the total by 2016, in a tweet

“To win is difficult for a party, 3 in a row; Clinton is unpopular for many reasons, including the MSM fixation on E-Mail; Trump also unpopular, but GOP voters were loyal and racially tinged populism, has worked among non-college whites, who are overrepresented in the Electoral College,” he wrote.

The tweets came as a new report for the Senate Intelligence Committee, outlined the extent of Russia’s influence-campaign during the 2016 presidential elections, describing it as a sophisticated and versatile efforts, certain groups and sow political division in the public over social media platforms.

Silver is not shy on social media and was mocked recently, say the Republicans are critical of the incoming Democratic Republic of the Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, because of their “race and gender.” He argued that the aversion to the self-proclaimed democratic Socialist, based in bigotry, which prompted criticism from conservatives.

Silver finally offered this explanation:

“In other words, New Yorkers are very good at trolling, and Washington has extreme troll-weak. It is always a mismatch, but more pronounced, now that we are in the Golden age of Trolling. We move the capital back to Philly, to make it a fair fight.”

Fox News’ Joseph A. Wulfsohn contributed to this report.

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