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Kavanaugh faces uncertain future after woman Prosecutor breaks the silence, the Republicans worry in private about midterms

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Chad Pergram on Kavanaugh’s confirmation process

Senior Capitol Hill producer, gives an insight about the possibility of Congress-survey Kavanaugh the Prosecutor.

We may be in a gray zone when it comes to what’s next for the nomination of Brett Kavanaugh for the Supreme court.

According to the allegations against Kavanaugh Ford made by Christine, the White house says it will not be the nomination and even, perhaps, gird for fight rip. A spokesman for Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa, says assistant work, additional calls with Kavanaugh and Ford “in front of the on Thursday scheduled a vote.”

In other words, GOP leaders backed down from a Committee vote on Kavanaugh Thursday, and an effort not to confirm him in the Senate, by the middle of next week.

Here’s the problem:

Several Republicans, that they want to slow the process until it is thoroughly tackled Ford for free, and not just blindly charged ahead with the confirmation.

“I’m uncomfortable moving forward with a Yes vote until we hear from (Ford),” said Sen. Jeff Flake, R-Ariz., a member of the legal Committee. Fellow judiciary Committee member Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S. C., also urged caution. But Graham was not in favor of a pause.

To listen “if the Committee, Mrs Ford, it should be done immediately, so that the process can be continued as planned,” said Graham. “If Ford wants to make available this information to the Committee, I would like to hear what she has to say, and compare it against all the other information we have received about the judge Kavanaugh.”

Several Democrats called for to bring to the Committee, the confirmation process to a standstill.

“Sen Grassley need to move the votes up to the minimum, these serious and credible allegations are thoroughly investigated,” said Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-NY “To the railroad, a vote now would be an insult to the women in America.”

What happens now is unclear. It is not known whether Ford is ready to appear, in person or just how thoroughly the senators have with your statement. But it wouldn’t be much to throw things out of the lot for those hoping for a quick confirmation. Plus, there’s danger for the GOP, if it fails, the Ford allegations seriously or account for what she has to say. We are in the Me-Too era now. Republicans Ford ignore at your own risk less than two months before the midterm elections. GOPers know they could be urns the face of a counter-reaction to the choice, if you misplay your hand.

Of the judiciary Committee, split almost evenly between Republicans and Democrats: 11 GOPers. 10 Democrats. Flake you tap the brakes. But honestly, not a Committee vote means a lot. Let Grassley marches say regardless. Would Flake and other Republicans votes in opposition to Kavanaugh in the Committee ‘ s nomination? Possibly. But that means very little for the actual confirmation.

Consider this:

It is somewhere rules written in the Constitution or the Senate that Supreme Court nominees will require the vote of a successful committee, before it on the ground. On 6. In October 1987, the Senate judiciary Committee voted 9-5 against a favorable recommendation for the Supreme court, Robert Bork is nominated. The Committee voted 9-5 to send Bork’s nomination to the floor with an unfavorable recommendation.

The full Senate later the Committee, rebuffing Bork, 58-42. Bork, only the 11 High Court nominee was rejected by the Senate in the history of the Republic.

In the year 1991, the Senate judiciary Committee’s 7-7 blocked, to send the appointment of Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas on the floor with a positive recommendation. The Committee voted 13-1 Thomas give no recommendation.

The Senate later Thomas, 52-48 chosen to confirm.

You can see how Kavanaugh was able to fight, in order to obtain a positive, or no recommendation from the judiciary Committee with only one vote GOP advantage.

Allegations against Kavanaugh in an eerily similar way to the way Anita hill leveled charges against Thomas: between the end of the hearings and a floor vote. The Kavanaugh’s accusations even on almost identical points on the calendar.

— Chad Pergram (@ChadPergram) September 17, 2018

So, why are committees at all a recommendation? Not all the senators are sitting in each of the committees. Senators take into account the disposition of bodies, which decide people for a range of positions, ranging from the Supreme court, Ambassador, Deputy state Secretary for Insular Affairs. Mandates to candidates holds a lot of sway with the senators.

But to hear right, of Ford time can claim. That is why, embedded in the back of everyone’s mind, is what happened in the year 1991 with Thomas and Anita Hill.

At the end of September 1991, the justice Committee concluded its negotiations with Thomas and sent his nomination to the floor without recommendation. The is appeared, as the allegations of the Hill. She accused Thomas of sexual harassment when they worked at the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (EEOC).

After much consternation, opened the Committee on legal Affairs and hearings, invited to the hill to testify in a dramatic, public meeting. To listen to the panel again, of Thomas, and other witnesses. Thomas as you know, the negotiations, “a high-tech lynching.”

History can’t repeat itself. But as the author John le Carre wrote, “Tomorrow was created yesterday…and the day before yesterday.”

Those pushing for a quick, painless confirmation of Kavanaugh know what is happening with the Thomas confirmation could be a problem. In fact, these hearings is, what is actually the first Chapter in the I Also exercise. The Republicans are skeptical of is to presented as indifferent to Ford’s statement.

The allegations against Kavanaugh, the in to eerily similar to the way that the hills leveled charges against Thomas: between the end of the hearings and a floor vote. The Kavanaugh’s accusations even on almost identical points on the calendar.

The vote in the Committee could be the worry, at least the GOP and Kavanaugh.

Republicans hold a narrow 51-49 advantage in the Senate. Most of the Republicans are Kavanaugh on the plate as a support. But the candidate does not have the votes on the floor to score confirmation. Sen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, has not announced their position Kavanaugh, but fellow moderate Sen. Lisa Murkowski told CNN that she is open to the delay.

“If there are more questions and answers, then I think it would be appropriate for this time,” she said.

Collins spent an hour on the phone with Kavanaugh Friday. It was a follow-up to questions from the Maine Republican who had tion to the nominated documents.

The call was scheduled before information about Ford. Collins discussed the allegations with Kavanaugh on Friday.

The office of Senate majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., said on Sunday, there will be no changes to the schedule in regards to Kavanaugh. To keep so, if things go as planned, even if Kavanaugh an unfavorable evaluation by the Committee, or no recommendation made to all, the hopes of the Senate GOP brass, a procedural vote to break a filibuster on the nomination by Monday, September 24.

The confirmation vote on the floor would probably be to become available on Wednesday, September 26.

It is not yet clear, by Christine Ford-fees stall or derail Kavanaugh nomination. But the Senate is swimming in a grey zone. It’s a bit like what happens when Anita Hill came out in 1991. And with the midterm elections around the corner, the Republicans worry privately about missteps with Kavanaugh and Ford could reverberate at the ballot box.

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