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How a potential government shutdown throw a wrench could in Brett Kavanaugh’s confirmation

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Dems accused of playing politics with the Kavanaugh nomination

Congressman Ken Buck, the Republican member of the House Judiciary Committee, says Democrats don’t want to admit that President Trump ‘took a to replace a great judge,” retired Supreme Court Justice Kennedy.

Fights over a government shutdown have only rarely do something with the confirmation of a judge of the Supreme court. But this may not be the case this year.

Government funding expires, 1. October. This coincides with the start of the Supreme Court’s new term, the fabled “First Monday in October.” Senate majority whip John Cornyn, R-Texas, characterized 1. October as a “target” to confirm, the President of Trump’s pick for the high court, Brett Kavanaugh. But Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., a little room was to the date. The Kentucky Republican, suggested last week that it would not be a problem, confirmed Kavanaugh “past the first Tuesday in November.”

Two Things. It is believed that it is actually the Senate take to stop one or two weeks in October, the Kavanaugh nomination. Democrats are also documents yelping for Kavanaugh. It is possible Republicans could call the Democrats of ” bluff, and you pull out the nomination in the proximity to the midterm elections. Such a gambit would tether vulnerable Democratic senators facing difficult re-election campaigns to Washington. The would prevent those Democrats from the campaign, and to maximise focus on how you can vote on Kavanaugh, days before the mid-term elections.

So, here’s the problem for the Republicans is in relation to a possible shutdown:

McConnell and speaker of the house of representatives Paul Ryan, R-Wis., discuss went to the White house last Wednesday, the state with the President. Fox News is told, she stressed the importance that the Congress, its work on spending bills this summer and in early autumn, and warned the President about the threat of a government shutdown. Fox News is told, the leader thought she had the support of the President in a good place when it comes to the state.

And then Sunday morning hit:

“I would not be willing to ‘shut down’ the government, if the Democrats give us the voices for border security, which is also the wall! Need to get rid of the lottery, Catch & Release etc.. and finally, go to control immigration on the basis of MERITS! We need great people to come into our country!” thundered Trump on Twitter.

I would be willing to “shut down” the government when the Democrats give us the voices for border security, which is also the wall! Need to get rid of the lottery, Catch & Release etc.. and finally, go to control immigration on the basis of MERITS! We need great people to come into our country!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) 29. July 2018

Fox News is told that the house of representatives and the Senate is expected GOP leader full that it can avoid problems like these in their efforts to a government shutdown on 1. October. But you could of the serious consequences of a shutdown, the Republican party — especially when you try to confirm Kavanaugh.

A couple of scenarios:

Let’s say, the Senate is on the fast track, and the senators confirm Kavanaugh in late September. Note that the fight over the confirmation of Kavanaugh is a Central component of the strategy for both parties the means to approach exams. His nomination excites the base, on both sides. The Republicans would like to confirmed a large profit shortly before the mid-term elections, by threats Kavanaugh … and then the government shut down. The snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. The story immediately changes, and the GOP gets zero credit for the expansion of the airport by Kavanaugh.

Now, imagine if Kavanaugh has not yet been confirmed, 1. October, and there is a government shutdown. In this case, the GOP-steps, all of which have their own history, then the importance of the confirmation of Kavanaugh.

It is unclear how long the government shutdown could last. But Fox News is told, is a shutdown of a week or two might delay the confirmation of Kavanaugh, by the end of October or even November. Note that McConnell said, “It would be any kind of delay tactics, the us on the first Tuesday in November.” This is the day of the election. 6. November. However, McConnell did not consider a “delay tactics” of the invitation by the President of the United States.

Several Republican sources fear a government shutdown ” shortly before the midterm elections. That said, Fox News is told, there are some Republicans, at both ends of Pennsylvania Avenue, the thinking that a government shutdown standoff, a wall-financing and the immigration fight is worth it and will urns of energy, Republicans continue to to the.

To Wit:

The public largely blamed the GOP for the 17-day government shutdown in the fall of 2013. A year later, the Republicans performed well in the 2014 mid-term elections. Voters, the GOP is driven to their largest majority since 1928. Republicans wrested control of the Senate from Democrats.

There were two short shutdowns earlier this year. Took a weekend. Another lasted a couple of hours over night. Republicans also came to these battles.

At first, Democrats first, they went to the Mat to secure DACA offer. But Democrats folded rather quickly. This is because red state democratic senators targeted are asked a difficult re-election bids in the fall, to call for Democratic leaders, the dogs. Plus, Trump usually remained on the sidelines for the shutdown. The public pinned down controlling to drive on the Democrats and not the Republicans, despite the GOP the house, Senate and the White house.

But a shutdown this fall is different. It would be immediately before the mid-term elections. It would be different if Trump continues his bravery, forms in the architect of the shutdown. Such a scenario can help to trigger the “blue wave”. A shutdown may not damage, Senate Republicans so much. But this scenario really would have consequences for the house Republicans. The more than 40 open seats now in the possession of a Republican against a particular vulnerability.

It is a scenario where it could be an attempt to prevent a coalition of all Democrats and many Republicans to override a potential veto of a transitional government Finance bill to shut down.

It takes two-thirds in both bodies to override a veto: 67 in Senate and 290 in the house. Of course, there are a lot of Republicans who do not want to go would be against the President, and to see a battle on the wall as a “good policy” shortly before the midterm elections. But many do not see it this way. If the Democrats stick together, it’s 17 Republicans would take the Senate and 100 Republicans in the house. These figures are, it would be very likely under these circumstances, and the first major rebuke of Trump from the Republican Congress would be in order.

Trump has not a Veto against a bill, and thus has a serious override threat.

Senate Appropriations Committee Chairman Richard Shelby, R-Ala., Fox News said that he would like the idea of an interim spending bill, and the government’s “lurch from week to week. Month-to-month.”

He added: “the government is open is the responsibility to hold both sides.”

House and Senate Republicans are not trying to Outdo a good case to force shut down. McConnell’s philosophy is to show the President how much “progress” Republicans on Capitol Hill. You are to deliver over to him a second Supreme Court justice. Had McConnell not be the Senate precedent is established, to overcome the bar low filibusters of judges of the Supreme court, justice Neil from gorsuch and Kavanaugh is likely toast. Both of them had in the face of an insurmountable Democratic filibuster. In addition, the house and Senate are really moving when it comes to the appropriations bills, and are on the way to move most of the spending bills on schedule for the first time in two decades.

This accelerated pace is a by-product of the Trump threatens to veto the gigantic $1.3 omnibus spending bill back in March. Bill funded the government until September 30, and mixed all 12 spending bills, the Federal government, in a burdensome legislative fur-ball.

“I say, Congress, I’m going to said you’ll never another law again,” the President said.

As a result, the legislature got to work on the spending bills for fiscal year 2019, which begins at 1. October.

McConnell also took a warning Trump heed fired over Twitter in may.

“The Senate should the funding before the August break, or NOT to GO HOME. Wall and border security should be included. The worst in the history of waiting for the approval from almost 300 nominations. Democrats do everything possible to obstruct, everything you need to know how to do. STAY!,” tweeted the President.

And Yes, the Kentucky Republican has cancelled most of the August recess.

“It’s about getting back to a normal appropriations process, we have not had in 20 years. To avoid passing individual bills, which are these big omnibus bills at the end of the year. We aren’t going to be dysfunctional in this year,” said McConnell in an interview last week-AM in Louisville.

The last time the Congress has approved more than an annual appropriations bill on time was in 2005 for the 2006 financial year. So, if the Senate moves the bills, there is a good chance that the Congress have carried out three-quarters of the spending bills before the 1. October Date.

There will be a shutdown?

“No. This is not going to happen,” McConnell WHAS said.

But something is missing in this stew-expenditures-bills: the Department of Homeland Security appropriations bill. This measure funds the wall.

McConnell answered “probably” when asked whether the Congress would address the measure before the 1.October.

All this elbow-grease is enough for the President? Finally, he promised the voters the wall. Pass these spending bills before the end of the period, enough for trump even if he is not the wall of funding?

That would trump artist, not a wall, the money in front of the 1. October as a stumble in the playoffs?

Yes, timing is everything.

Is the President talking of a showdown, September or December showdown?

But one thing is for sure: the majority of Republicans hope it’s the latter. This is because they do not believe that a fight in September and October also ends for you at the ballot box, or, for that matter, the nominations of Kavanaugh.

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