nearvideo breaking down the 10 counties that decide the election in 2020
Trump 2020 campaign pollster Jim McLaughlin of the countries of import breaks to the presidential elections.
Fifty-nine percent of voters are very interested in the 2020 presidential election. This is a number usually only seen right before an election.
It is 27 points higher than at the same time, in the last presidential cycle — and only one point from the report, 60 percent very interested, in the week before election day in 2008.
In addition, more Democrats (65 percent) than Republicans (60 percent) are extremely interested in the election, and more Democrats (69 percent) than Republicans (63 percent) are extremely motivated about the vote in the year 2020. It helps the Democratic top candidate for President Donald Trump, a potential head-to-head matchups.
Joe Biden continues to be tested, the best performance of the Democratic candidate, according to a new Fox News poll. He has the largest projection on the trombone (+14 points), is the only one who received 50 per cent support, and to hold the only Trump under 40 percent (52-38 percent). Last month, it was Biden about trump by 50-38 percent.
The survey, released on Wednesday, shows Bernie Sanders covering Trump 8 points (48-40).
Elizabeth Warren by 6 points (46-40), the directly to the poll’s margin of error, and Kamala Harris, a 2-point edge (42-40 percent) has, within the survey the error rate.
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Between 10 to 18 percent of the candidates are undecided or support third-party.
Biden, the lead over Trump comes from the large advantages among women (+22 points), suburban women (+30) and black (+74).
In the counties, where in 2016, was the vote close (Hillary Clinton and Trump within 10 points), Biden is ahead by 21 points.
Among the 6 in 10 voters, motivated, extremely the vote by 2020, Biden is on trump to 16 points.
Trump is preferably white, to Biden the white (+2 points), without a college degree (+11), and white Evangelical Christians (+41).
In 2016, Trump white won by 20 points, white, without a college degree, 37 points, and white Evangelical Christians to 64 points.
“Democrats are sure to give us your candidate have an advantage over President Trump in this early test version of the ballot paper,” says Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who conducts the Fox News poll, with Chris Anderson, his Democratic counterpart. “But we have nine months in the Democratic debates and the primaries, and the data show, a feeling among many voters, next November, Trump is the last Stand.”
By a 6-point margin, the voters predict Trump will be re-elected. That’s a reversal from December 2018, to say if by 13 points, voters were more likely that he would lose.
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Three candidates to run against President trump for the GOP nomination. It is not a competition.
Trump recorded 86 percent support among Republican primary voters. The former South Carolina Gov. Mark Sanford, the former Illinois Rep. Joe Walsh, and former Massachusetts Gov. Bill Weld will each receive 2 percent. Another 4 percent say that none of the above/other, and 5 percent unsure.
Even so, more than a quarter of GOP primary voters (27 percent) is in the hope that someone new, who you haven’t heard of but it will give you the race-with one in five Republican primary voters, the secure Trump (21 percent).
For comparison, 38 percent of the primaries want the voters that someone is Biden new the leap into the race, including 36 percent backing.
Conducted September 15-17, 2019, under the joint leadership of the Beacon research (D) and Shaw & Company (R), of this Fox News poll is based on interviews with 1,008 randomly selected voters nationwide, spoke with a live Interviewer on both landlines and mobile phones. The survey has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points for all registered voters and 5 points for the Republican primary voters (341).