Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker speaks during the Conservative Political Action conference (CPAC) in National Harbor, Maryland, USA, 23. February 2017. REUTERS/Joshua Roberts – RTS10034
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On the roster: Fox News Power Rankings: Hello, Wisconsin – Manchin: Kavanaugh has all the right characteristics’ – Ryan’s PAC rakes in huge haul – GOP-members of the fighting with Russia-relationship – Hey Boo Boo!
FOX NEWS POWER RANKINGS: HELLO, WISCONSIN
However much you believe that gerrymandering is the credit or the blame for the Republicans the control of Congress, there is no debate that the party with a stunning success at the state level, has a lot to do with the GOP electoral successes of the decade.
You have probably heard it said, but in statehouses all over the country since 2008, the Republicans have been on a tear. You can control 32, the legislature almost split-and control-four more with Democrats. And although you lost some ground since their high-water mark, hold the Republicans still have the governorship in 33 States.
This is important, more than just for bragging rights. To draw in addition to the ability of congressional districts and develop talent for the Federal elections, the States also give Republicans an advantage, to hinder when it comes to either, as you can do this with the Obama administration, or the progressive Federal initiatives, as they are now.
That’s a long way to say that the competitions for 36 of the General government in this year counts for a lot, whether you are living in Penobscot, Peoria or Pocatello.
As our Fox News Power Rankings you see today in our brand new online show (show) Republican successes at the state level mean that you have to defend a large territory, in this autumn, including a number of very blue States. The Republican Governor elections map is rough for the party, as the Senate map for the Democrats.
To go along with our nice, new ads, we have to make some race rating changes.
If you were on the track, the GOP success in 2016 in one place, it would be like, Madison, Wis. That is where Gov. Scott Walker pulled off a stunner in 2010, survived a 2012 recall effort, led by the government, the trade unions of employees in the he zapped after taking office, and then cruised to re-election in 2014. Walker, the star dimmed significantly after his botched 2016 presidential run, but that takes a little away from the strange machine he has built in the badger state.
We were initially cautious Walker, the chances for a third term due to the General political climate in this year, the close of the President Trump‘s victory in Wisconsin, and the intensity of Democratic opposition to him. But if it hit a Governor in America, Democrats most want to, it’s Walker.
As Democrats Approach Their Aug. 14 primary, it is becoming increasingly clear that the Walker is so easy to defeat this time than he was before. It looks like the state school superintendent Tony Evers has the advantage in a crowded field, but there is nothing like clarity among the Democrats. This would have to fight a good year for the blue Team to avoid a protracted primary, but no such luck for you.
But the biggest problem Evers, or whichever Democrat comes through is that to tolerate the voters seem to be Republican rule. The latest poll from Marquette University Law School shows that Walker is still on the water in the voters ‘ assessment of his job performance, 49 percent to 47 percent. And while Trump is not unpopular in General, the 44 percent job approval rate is the millstone that drag down some of Walker’s Republican counterparts in other States.
Forty-four percent job approval can not dreamy exactly for trump, but it’s about where he is National and it is certainly good enough to deny Democrats the chance to have a really nationalized campaign against Walker. While it is true that democratic intensity, especially in Dane County, the home of the University of Wisconsin and in the urban districts of Milwaukee, will run high, there is no evidence that America’s Dairyland taking all the sharp left turns so far.
In fact, Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin, has been raising the alarm about their own race. Walker turnout machine and access sunk to a deep donor has worried some Democrats, that Baldwin was the victim of a late-race blitz.
For all of these reasons and the power of incumbency, we in Wisconsin Governor election from “Toss Up” to “Lean Republican.”
THE RULES: NO DUH
“Because it can not be assumed that the same level of good policy, prudence, and foresight would uniformly be searched observed by the individual confederacies for a long succession of years.” – John Jay, The Federalist No. 5
TIME-OUT: JUST ASK ENGLAND
The Atlantic: “The world Cup has a long history of injustice. … To change In so many cases in football-past, to correct the access to video replays, the referees would have helped their mistakes, perhaps the history of the game and the story. But until recently, football was stubbornly resistant to such technology. … Huddled together in a Central operating room in Moscow, a video-assistant referee—or VAR—and three more helpers with access to multiple cameras on the field with each match, the main is communicated to the referee by a listener, to help with difficult calls. During replays reversed a couple of bad decisions, the result was largely disappointing. This is partly because the new technology brought many new complications. But it is also because of the football, on the most basic level, is unjust. … Innovations in football is often an interpretative puzzles to solve, other. You can annoy, the game’s vulnerability to interpretation, often to unjust results, or you can embrace it.”
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Trump job performance
Average Approval: 41.2 Percent
The average of the rejection: 52.6 percent
Net Rating: -11.4 Points
Change from a week ago: 0.8 points
[On average contains: Gallup: 41% approve – 56% disapprove; Quinnipiac University: 40% approve – 55% lean; IBD: 41% approve – 54% lean; CNBC: 41% approve – 47% disapprove; USA Today/Suffolk University: 43% approve – 51% oppose it.]
Control of the house
Republican Average: 41 Percent
Democratic Means: 48.2 Percent
Advantage: Democrats plus 7.2 points
Change from a week ago: no change
[On average contains: Quinnipiac University: 50% Dems 41% GOP; IBD: 48% Dems and 40% GOP; USA Today/Suffolk University: 45% Dems, 39% of GOP; CNN: 50% Dems 42% GOP; Gallup: 48% Dems, 43% of GOP.]
[Watch Fox , The last Fox News polls on the midterm races, President Trumps job performance and more to debut tonight on “special report with Bret Baier” at 6 p.m. ET.]
MANCHIN: KAVANAUGH HAS ALL THE RIGHT PROPERTIES
West Virginia metro news: “no, the U.S. Senator Joe Manchin (D-W. Va.) said on Wednesday he is not one way or the other on the nomination of U.S. District Court of Appeals, DC circuit judge Brett Kavanaugh to the US Supreme Court. To check on metro news Talkline,’ Manchin named Kavanaugh ‘a very fine man of high moral standards with a lot of career judicial opinions. “He has all the right qualities. He is well-mannered and, with that, we just have to see to it that you are being followed, ensure that the rule of law and the Constitution, and is said to preempt basically anything else he does,’ Manchin. ‘Most importantly, I want to hear from West Virginians.'”
Kavanaugh comparison to other SupCo nominations – Axios: “President Trump the nomination of Brett Kavanaugh to fill the seat of justice Anthony Kennedy comes only 120 days prior to the 2018 midterm elections. The big picture: There are five more cases that have opened since 1950, as the seats were elections within 150 days of a midterm. In three of them, the nomination was completed before the election (David Souter, Antonin Scalia, Arthur Goldberg). In the remaining two cases, both under President [Dwight Eisenhower], the appointment was delayed until after the election (Potter Stewart, John Marshall Harlan II). Why it is important: Mitch McConnell, the stalled Merrick Garland‘s nomination to replace Antonin Scalia, because it was close to a presidential election, has promised that Kavanaugh the hearings and the vote will take place before November.”
Short to leave the WH before the nomination battle begins – Politico: “President Donald Trump legislative affairs director is the term used for the outputs, such as the White house is gearing up for a big Supreme Court nomination battle and approaches a massive midterm-election landscape. Marc Short, a of the administration of the longest-serving senior aides, and a sought-after speaker for the President in the television, is planning to depart from the 20. July, according to a person familiar with the plans. Short, who declined to comment on the record, takes a job at the signpost strategies, business consulting, and teaches at the University of Virginia’s business school, where he received his MBA, and also serves as a senior fellow at the university’s Miller Center.”
The judgment of the judge: no, Kavanaugh – This week, Fox News Senior judicial Analyst judge Andrew Napolitano explains why he’s disappointed with the President’s Supreme court pick: “The tension over this was palpable earlier this week. The showman in the President beat a drum so effectively last weekend, we excited all saw, pulse prices on Monday evening. I was and remain very disappointed. Donald Trump — what do you think of him as President-has completely promise true to his choice in foreign and domestic policy. Until now. Now he has given us the candidacy for the country’s highest court, typical for the culture, he railed, when he said he would lay the sump dry. This man and this culture does not accept, the cutting of holes in the Fourth Amendment, because they believe that it will protect should the privacy.” More here.
RYAN’S PAC RAKES IN HUGE HAUL
USA Today: “A super-PAC allied with the Republican speaker of the house of representatives Paul Ryan and the arithmetic is in a Bar, to try to prevent a democratic takeover of the house in the Nov. 6 midterm elections. The Congressional Leadership Fund announced $51 million in donations in the quarter ended 30. June. More than half of the donations, the $30 million, came from Las Vegas casino magnate Sheldon Adelson, according to CLF. The prey is more than the group brought in all of 2016. This same quarter in 2016, the PAC-donors gave only $4.6 million. With this quarter, infusion, the GOP-super-PAC 71 million in cash on hand is $CLF. The money will help you, how you determined the face of an energized Democratic base-flip-house. Corry Bliss, the management of the Fund’s executive director, said the PAC has already reserved more than $60 million in advertising this fall.”
Ryan focuses on tax cuts in the last mid-term sales pitch – AP: “the speaker of the house of representatives Paul Ryan is to the credit of the GOP-tax-plan with the improvement in the US economy, an argument that the headquarters of the Republican pitch to voters ahead of the midterm elections. In a speech on Thursday, the Economic Club of Washington, DC, Ryan says, ” Tax reform is working. It is to improve the lives of the people.’ The voters, however, is not so sure. Polls show mixed support for the corporate and household tax cuts to President Donald Trump keep signed into law last year. The plan is expected to add 1.5 trillion dollars to the deficit, but Republicans say the costs will be covered by economic growth. Ryan in the election, instead of looking for again, but the Republicans are counting on the tax to keep the plan as part of an election-year message to GOP control of the house in the autumn.”
Beto beats Cruz in fundraising-again – the – Texas-tribune: “Beto O’rourke, democratic candidate for the U.S. Senate in Texas, raised more than $10.4 million in the past three months, he announced on Wednesday reveals an amount that takes his already massive fundraising to new heights. And the El Paso Congressman, again, vastly outraised the Republican incumbent, Ted Cruz, took in less than half of its challenger – haul — $4.6 million in the same time, according to his campaign. O’rourke also took a decisive lead in cash on hand on Cruz, with four months to the day of the election, $14 million to $10.4 million. O’rourke is the last haul is his biggest yet — topping $6.7 million, which he bagged during the first quarter, which was far more than Cruz, for the same period. Cruz is in the second quarter of fundraising is also his greatest, but still not nearly enough, with O ‘Rourke’ s pace scorching.”
Ocasio-Cortez subdued to Crowley – Daily Beast: “The madness of New York election law spilled into a public tit-for-tat on Thursday morning, as an insurgent Democratic congressional candidate Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, accused their former primary opponent, Rep. Joe Crowley ‘mounting a 3rd party challenge’ after their stunning victory over the powerful house Democrat a little more than two weeks. Ocasio-Cortez tweeted that Crowley ‘stood by me for all of the 3 planned concession calls for’ a New York Times article about the Crowley campaign refused to abandon the workers and their families party line on the November ballot. He had secured the party the recommendation of the primary school and according to the article, WFP Director Bill Lipton asked that he vacated after his stunning major-party to defeat. The campaign allegedly did not commit.”
House Dems discuss options to replace Pelosi – appeal: “Some house Democrats have begun to talk more openly about the possibility of someone other than Nancy Pelosi can be your guide in the next year — although, now, she’s still odds-on-favorites continues to be the leader of the group. The leadership scramble has picked up steam in the Wake of house Democratic Caucus Chairman Joseph Crowley‘s primary loss last month. The New York Democrat had, he was by many as a potential successor to Pelosi a day. A few members, such as California Reps. Linda T. Sanchez and Barbara Lee looked at are Crowley’s soon-to-be-open position, but others discuss, and urged to run for higher posts, including the top spot of the democratic leaders. Rep. Tim Ryan, who challenged Pelosi for her post following the elections of 2016, and lost, is considering running against you again.”
Emily’s list joins house primary race in Kansas – WaPo: “Emily’s List, a democratic-leaning interest group that supports women in the policy overthrown, in the crowded primary for Kansas’s 3rd Congressional District. According to media trackers, women vote!, the group of the PAC, which is spending almost $400,000 on advertising in support of Sharice Davids, a Native American activist and former White House fellow, in the race in February. … And it was already the second attempt of Emily’s List to help a candidate win the primary, only a quarter of the Great Plains — the Dakotas, Kansas, Nebraska and Oklahoma , supported Hillary Clinton for President in 2016.”
GOP MEMBERS FIGHTING WITH RUSSIA-A RELATIONSHIP
Politico: “Republicans are with a Russian identity crisis. The Congress, the GOP is openly fighting with the United States ” relationship with Russia during the tenure of President Donald Trump, the overseas trip this week with some worries about fraying American alliances and Russian President Vladimir Putin‘s growing influence and the other is pleased to see an improvement in the relationships and anxious, always on the wrong side of the leader of their own party. The divisions come as a trump blow in other NATO member States in Brussels on Wednesday for the recording of ‘unfair’ advantage that the US military could, and for several days after a delegation of GOP senators visited Russia, and were promptly used, Moscow-messaging device that has painted them as weak. The party, the attitude to a head to come on Monday, when Trump will meet with Putin one-on-one in Helsinki. Sen. John Thune (R-S. D.) expressed frustration with the propaganda that followed his recent visit and asked Trump to take a hard line with Putin, if you sit together.”
DHS says no signs of Russian interference, for the year 2018 – appeal: “U.S. intelligence and the Department of Homeland Security are not to see the evidence, so far, the joint efforts of Russia to hack or penetrate the American election systems during the 2018 midterms, top Homeland Security officials told lawmakers on Wednesday. Although the 2018 ‘between elections remain a potential destination for the Russian actors, the intelligence community is already seeing evidence of a robust campaign is aimed at the Manipulation of our elections infrastructure along the lines of 2016 or to affect the makeup of the house or the Senate race, Christopher Krebs, the top-DHS official monitoring cyber-security and elections safety, told the House Homeland Security Committee. But intelligence services see the Russian actors with social media platforms, adopting false personas, and other means to inflame Americans to controversial issues, cancer said.”
Read this: ‘Dana Perino: Ten years after Tony Snow died much too young, I remember the important things that he taught me” – Fox News
McCarthy begins secretly, strategic speaker-campaign – Political
Dems officially reduce the role of superdelegates – NYT
Trump picks Ambassador for Somalia, Nicaragua – The hill
AUDIBLE: I’M SORRY I’M SORRY
“I’ve been thinking about it, and I’ve decided not to do it. I like me too much.” – Speaker of the house of representatives Paul Ryan‘s response when asked, during an event on tax policy, whether he may run for President in the future.
FROM THE STANDS
“Our truly fearless leader, criticism of the almost giggling pomp, in Europe and in the United Nations is long overdue. You can send me the seagulls. … I like the idea of courtship to Putin. Russia, with a population of 145 million heavy drinkers, more apparent than real, however, it has great intelligence capabilities that can be purchased as you need the money. Russia has traditionally been left to the Anti-Americans, and Chinese, so let us see how they will react to our overtures to her friend. Trump will keep ’em guessing! Thank you for your insights, keep them coming.” – Bob Stenzel, Naples, Fla.
[Ed. Note: you may be, as you can see Russia, Mr. Stenzel. And it can also be pretty close to the truth. But that’s not how Russians see themselves. One of the reasons why Putin has become so successful, want to be sold at the commissioning, the country is in a hug, which he what to buy a lot of Russians: – recovery. Whether tsarist or Soviet, Russians long for the times in their history in which their country was really a world. “Great Russia” is both a description of the location on the map, extending from Poland to the Pacific, but it is also an attitude. These objectives, coupled with a fatalistic view of the world, the places, the power of little value on human life or individual rights, Putin is a very dangerous man. He means for us and our allies harm, and yet we go on with our foreign policy, we must be clear eyes.]
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HEY BOO BOO!
UPI: “Georgia woman thought she spotted a large cat in her minivan took a closer look and a black bear eat a discovered their lunch. Carrie Watts said that her van was parked outside the house, where she works as a janitor, and the Windows were down because of the heat. Watt said she was vacuuming in the house if you looked out the window and noticed movement in the van. She said she thought the animal was a large black cat, but then she realized it was a black bear. “I was in a panic. I started to scream. I didn’t know who had called, he didn’t know how to say it’ Watts WSB-TV. Watt said the bear had her lunch, consisting of ” a sandwich, a few chips and a cookie.’ She said the bear was undeterred, as you from the van – theft alarm and remained in the vehicle for some time before you try to leave, with her handbag, they fall outside of the van.”
AND NOW, A WORD FROM CHARLES…
“In Europe, Putin has drawn on one side, the card. His annexation of the Crimea will not be undone. The Europeans are eager to throw off the few sanctions it reluctantly imposed on Russia. And the rape of Eastern Ukraine continues.”– Charles Krauthammer , writing in the Washington Post, April 18, 2016.
Chris Stirewalt , the politics editor for Fox News. Brianna McClelland contributed to this report. FOX News mid-term report in your Inbox every day wants? Sign up here.
Chris Stirewalt, Fox News Channel (FNC) entered into force in July 2010, and serves as politics editor in Washington, DC