Rep. Kevin Cramer, R-N. D., tops, incumbent Democrat sen. Heidi Heitkamp among North Dakota likely voters by 48-44 percent, in a Fox News poll.
Republican Kevin Cramer tops incumbent Democrat sen. Heidi Heitkamp among North Dakota likely voters by 48-44 percent, published in a Fox News poll on Wednesday. Cramer’s edge in the Senate race is within the survey margin of sampling error.
Both Heitkamp (85 percent) and Cramer-trailer (84 percent) have a pretty high voice of certainty. A total of 15 percent say they might change their minds before voting in November.
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There is a large gender gap, as women Heitkamp by 7 points, and men prefer to back Cramer of 15 points. He also receives strong support from white Evangelical Christians (+30) and the voters prioritizing the economy (+36).
Heitkamp comes out on top by 49 points in health voters. Health is the top issue for North Dakota voters (30 percent), followed by the economy (18 percent).
A vote against Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the Supreme Court hurt Heitkamp could. One in three voters say they could change their mind before you say in November, you would be less likely to vote for Heitkamp if you are against Kavanaugh, while 21 percent more likely.
Heitkamp is one of the most vulnerable Senate Democrats, along with Indiana Sen. Joe Donnelly and Missouri sen. Claire McCaskill.
“North Dakota is a tough fight for the Democrats,” says Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who conducts the investigations, the Democrat Chris Anderson. “It is a red state overall, and the anti-Trump sentiment is not only a rallying point here as it is in some other States.”
President Trump conducted in North Dakota in a 36-point landslide, and a 54-percent majority agrees, that his work performance.
Meanwhile, 26 percent say they want to vote in your Senate to express support for him. Twenty-four percent say, to show your voice, opposition, and 46 percent say he will not be a factor. Trump sat in North Dakota for Cramer last Friday.
The majority, 53 percent, said the financial situation of their family has not changed in the last two years. The rest are more likely to say things that are better rather than worse a 31-15 percent margin.
In the race for North Dakota’s lone house seat (the seat Cramer is the clearance leads to run for the Senate), Republicans Kelly Armstrong (48 percent), Democrat Mac Schneider (34 percent) to 14 points.
The Fox News poll is conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The poll was conducted September 8-11, 2018, by telephone (landline and cell phone) with live interviewers among a sample of 701 North Dakota likely voters and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.