Fox News poll: McCaskill in Missouri Senate race by a whisker

FILE – In this June 20, 2018, file photo, Sen. Claire McCaskill, D-Mo., a question was raised during a Senate Finance Committee hearing on Capitol Hill in Washington. McCaskill is a operation of a public attitude to President Donald Trump is nominated for the U.S. Supreme Court.

(Associated Press)

Missouri sen. Claire McCaskill, a two-term incumbent, tops her Republican Challenger Josh Hawley by a narrow 44-41 percent margin, according to a Fox News survey of Missouri likely voters. Her three-point margin of error in the poll’s margin of sampling. Third-party candidate, received six percent.

While the women are tied back McCaskill by nine candidates, among white women. Men go for Hawley by four points. Suburban women support McCaskill by 14 points, prefer while white Evangelical Christians Hawley of 34.


McCaskill is stronger support among Democrats, to 90 percent, as Hawley recorded among Republicans (79 percent). Missouri voters are more likely to identify as Republican than Democrat by seven points.

“On the basis of the partisans to come home, they turn to election-day, as is typical, Hawley,” says democratic pollster Chris Anderson, who conducts the Fox News poll with Republican counterpart Daron Shaw.

“But if the Republicans splitters are independent and Libertarian candidates, signs of the now, that could be the difference in the race.”

Seventy nine percent of the McCaskill are the men behind the sure you vote for them-far more than the 68 percent of Hawley’s Fans, who are sure.

The race could change. Eight percent of the Missouri are likely to be undecided voters. Plus, 27 percent of those who say is currently the backup of a candidate, they might change their minds before November.

In a hypothetical head-to-head matchup, McCaskill and Hawley tie at 45 percent.

Health care (29 percent) and the economy (26 percent) are the top concern in Missouri. Health back the voters of McCaskill by 34 points, while the economy, voters prefer Hawley of only 3 points.

“Missouri is not the only place where the health care is an important issue, and it helps the Democrats, so far,” says Shaw.

“If McCaskill to survive this race, it probably will be, because Missouri Democrats are more fired up and United on health care than Republicans in the economy.”

Show-Me State voters are divided, and President Trump, who carried Missouri by 19 points two years ago. Today, you share (49 percent approve, versus 48 percent disapprove), on his work performance.
To the trumps of the approver, the 75 per cent Hawley. A trump trip to Missouri, to Hawley on Thursday was cancelled due to hurricane Florence.

Slightly more voters say their Senate vote on the opposing presidents (33 percent) than support him (29 percent).

Meanwhile, a 7-point margin, more of the President of the trade thinking, to violate policies (45 percent) rather than help (38 per cent), the US economy.

From a personal perspective, 47 percent say their family’s financial situation is about the same as it was two years ago, and 22 percent say it is worse. Thirty percent say they are better.

McCaskill has not said how it will vote on Brett Kavanaugh’s could vote in the nomination for the Supreme Court, but a “no”, get you with Missouri voters. Under a quarter of the voters who say they could still change their minds in the Senate race, 32 percent say they would be less likely to support McCaskill, if you are against Kavanaugh. This is twice the number, which would be more likely to support you (15 percent).

At a glance, McCaskill and Hawley the cheap reviews look about the same (48 and 47 percent). But you are “strongly” unfavorable (35 percent) is eight points higher than his (27 percent).

The Fox News poll is conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The poll was conducted September 8-11, 2018, by telephone (landline and cell phone) with live interviewers among 675 Missouri likely voters and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Voters were selected randomly from a nationwide voter file and respondents answered the screening questions on the likelihood of voting in the elections in November.

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