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Can Democrats win the house during midterms?
GOP strategist Ned Ryun weighs in on ‘Fox & Friends First.’
There is a flood of bad news for Republicans in the latest Fox News poll.
The majority of voters are dissatisfied with the direction of the country. Majorities do not agree with President Trump to the boundary wall and additional tax-cut cash is nowhere to be seen. And, by a wide margin, the Democrats as the party that would better handle health care-at a time when most of the prioritisation of health services in deciding your vote for Congress.
With only 44 days until election day, perhaps the thing going for a good news for the GOP, the lead Democrats by seven points in the generic congressional vote among likely voters. Suggests that the battle for control of the house of representatives could still go in both directions.
READ THE FULL SURVEY RESULTS.
The survey, released on Sunday, shows how much the Americans warmed up to Obamacare. Four years ago, 48 percent felt the law “went too far” (September 2014). This is down to 36 percent today. And a majority believes that Obamacare is “just right” (21 percent) or “not far enough” (30 percent).
Plus, 64 percent want to be insured and more people, even if it costs the government more money.
Republican campaigns on the new tax law will only be limited attractive as the 6 voters in 10 do not see extra money signed up in your paycheck since Trump under the law, and only 32 percent think the law has helped the economy.
The voters did not agree with the President on the establishment of a US-Mexico border wall (resisted more, by 12 points) and the increase in the rates (say more it will hurt than help the economy by 6 points).
Currently, 55 percent of voters are dissatisfied with how things are in the country. This is a bit of a hinge from 53 percent who said so Trump the 100-day mark (April 2017).
And while a record number of “very enthusiastic” about how the government is working record is a whopping 7 percent. Another 25 percent are “satisfied”. A majority of 62 percent “dissatisfied” (37 percent) or “bad” (25 percent) with Washington.
Overall, when asked who they would be, if the congressional election were today, 49 percent of likely voters say that the Democratic candidate in their district and 42 percent of Republicans. Among the larger group of registered voters to the Democrats is by 46-40 percent.
“Normally, we don’t see Republicans be better off if we go from registered voters to likely voters,” says democratic pollster Chris Anderson, who conducts the survey with Republican Daron Shaw. “This is not the case right now, Democrats actually have a greater advantage, if we focus only on the likely voters.”
The gap between the sexes remains, as the women are more inclined to the Democratic candidate by a 17-point margin, while men pick the Republican candidate by 4 points.
Rural white backs of the Republicans by 22 points, while the suburban women back to the Democrats 23. Voters “angry” about how the government works, are four times more likely to support the Democratic candidate.
Voters who backed Hillary Clinton 2016 presidential election is more likely as trump voters are more enthusiastic about voting this year compared to last mid-term election (by 9 points) and more likely to be extremely interested in the election (11 points).
Still, that doesn’t tell the whole story. If you properties only in the count, where the 2016 presidential elections near (Clinton and Trump within 10 points), the Democrats have a 17-point lead in the ballot test. That’s almost as strong as in the Clinton counties, where you have 19 points.
The Republicans are considered to be better on border security (+11 points) and economy (+4), and keep the smallest edge on the control (+1) and international trade (+1).
The voters believe that Democrats may have a better hand, the expenditure for health care (+15 points), bringing the country together (+12), immigration (+5) and corruption (+5).
The health care is, because it is the only question, which has a majority, 55 percent, say that it is extremely important to you, vote for a Congress candidate that shares your views. This is followed by taxes (47 percent “very important”), immigration (46 percent), President Trump (46 percent) of the border wall (39 percent), Brett Kavanaugh ‘ s Supreme Court nomination (38 percent), and Russia (34 percent).
Campaign appearances, the President can not help the Republicans, which is to say as a 26 percent said they would rather do to support a candidate if Trump campaigns for you, but 43 per cent less likely to do this. This is a distribution of negative 17 points. Vice-President Mike Pence, not just a little bit better than his boss, at minus 13.
For former presidential candidate, Vermont sen. Bernie Sanders, the effect of which 31% is neutral: more likely to vote for a candidate he backs, and 31 percent less likely.
The former President Barack Obama receives a positive reaction (+11 points): 42 percent more likely vs. 31 percent less likely.
More broadly, 44 percent of voters approve of trump performance, while 52 percent disapprove. Last month, it was 45-53%, and in July it was 46-51%.
By a 50-42 percent of voters approve of trump, the handling of the economy. Majorities reject immigration (41-54 percent) and health care (38-52%).
The survey finds only 35 percent of voters think Trump “cares about people” like them, and just as many, 35 percent, and sees the trouble that he brought to Washington as a good thing.
Voters approve of the job Special Counsel Robert Müller (55-39 percent), and wants him to take his time and do it right (52 percent). Thirty-six percent say: “wrap it up already.”
Opposition to impeachment of the President was restricted. Voters oppose, rather than support of the indictment by a 5-point margin (42 percent Yes to 47 percent no). In June, the opposition support is outweighed by 12 points.
Among the voters, democratic congressional candidate back up, and 72 percent say that President Trump should be indicted and removed from office. For the voters the GOP candidates to support, an even larger 84 percent against impeachment.
Fifty-six percent feel things in the country is rigged to favor the rich. This is far more than the 39 percent who think they have a fair Chance to qualify from the group, if you work hard. Trump voters think that hard workers can get, while Clinton tell the voters that the system is rigged.
How deep is the gap? Only 18 percent of Republicans say, Democrats love America, and only 11 percent of Democrats think the Republicans do.
On Wednesday, Trump visited the areas affected by hurricane Florence in the Carolinas. Days earlier, he had denied reports about the death toll in Puerto Rico from Hurricane Maria (2017). By a four-point margin, the voters of the administration to give a clearly positive assessment of its response to Florence. The reviews received in the past year for Puerto Rico were more negative than positive 32 points.
The Fox News poll is based on landline and cell phone interviews of 1,003 randomly selected voters nationwide and was conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R) from September 16-19, 2018. The full survey has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points. For the sub-group of 818 likely voters, the margin of sampling error is plus or minus three points.