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Democrats are more interested to vote in the upcoming midterm elections and are more enthusiastic than usual, and that helps you to test an 8-point edge in the generic congressional vote. This in the midst of widespread concern that the country’s political debate is overheated, and even dangerous — to the point that a lot of voters to talk to avoid politics with family and friends.
Fifty-four percent of Democrats are “very interested” in the elections in November, and 51 percent are more enthusiastic about voting than usual, according to the latest Fox News national poll.
READ THE FULL SURVEY RESULTS.
The Republicans way of two measures: 47 per cent are very interested, and 42 percent are more enthusiastic.
Here’s the take-away is: by a 48-40 percent margin, voters prefer the Democratic candidate in their constituency about the Republicans. Democrats were up 48-39 percent in the last month. The rule of thumb is that the Democrats need to take on the generic ballot test by about 10 percentage points, the U.S. house this fall.
If the results are narrowed to only particularly interested voters, the democratic advantage of 13 points: 54-41 percent.
“Things seem to be moving, from day to day, but the prevailing political wind favoring the Democrats now,” says Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who conducts the survey with Democrat Chris Anderson.
“There’s a lot of time is until the day of the election, but we are close enough that surveys like this should be the Republicans.”
There is a 14-point interest gap between Republican men and women, as 53 percent of GOP men are very interested, while 39 percent of GOP women say the same.
Among Democrats, 54 percent of men and 53 percent of the women are very interested.
Meanwhile, voters think neither party has a clear plan for the country. Sixty percent, and 55 percent that the GOP is not to say that the democratic party is saying.
More Republicans (65%) than Democrats (49 percent) are confident that their party has a clear plan for the country.
The democratic party closely for a positive outcome of empathy is to say: with a 49-48 percent margin, the voters, the party “cares about people” like them. The GOP is underwater on this measure by 14 points (40-54%).
Seven voters in 10, the sense is the political debate in the country, “overheated and dangerous” (70 percent). This is down from 8 to 10 last summer (79 percent), and June 2017).
There are small differences between women (73 percent) and men (66 percent), and Democrats (74 percent) and Republicans (68 percent). One of the biggest differences in the generations: baby boomers (81 percent), 19 points more than likely to be millennials (62 percent) to feel things that are overheated.
Whom the voters blame for the dangerous debate? Thirty-seven per cent point the finger at the Republicans, while 33 percent Democrats, and 27 percent say both equally.
Home, some, reduce the heat by dodging the debate. In the past year, about half of voters, 48 percent, have intentionally talking with friends and family who do not share avoided their political views. White women are to be avoided with a college degree (62 percent) and suburban women (58 percent) among the most likely to talk about politics.
The Fox News poll is based on landline and cell phone interviews with 1,007 randomly selected voters nationwide and was conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R) from July 9-11, 2018. The survey has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points for all registered voters.