Fox News poll: Blackburn by three points in Tennessee Senate race

Representative Marsha Blackburn (R-TN) takes the stage to speak, during the last day of the Republican National Convention in Cleveland, Ohio, USA July 21, 2016. REUTERS/Mike Segar – HT1EC7M02EE7Q

President Trump won Tennessee by 26 percentage points, and he remains popular in the Volunteer State.

By a 20-point margin, Tennessee voters the work he does (58-38 percent), and by an 8-point margin in favour of, more say their vote in the Senate race will be a percentage to Express support for the President (35 percent) rather than opposition to him (27).


This helps Republican Marsha Blackburn’s top Democrat Phil Bredesen, but it is surprisingly close given Trump the width win of two years ago. Blackburn gets to fill 47 per cent to Bredesen, 44 percent in the race for the state open Senate seat, according to a Fox News survey of Tennessee’s likely voters. Their three-point lead is within the survey margin of sampling error.

The candidates are vying to fill the seat of outgoing Republican Sen. Bob Corker.

Eighty-one percent of Bredesen, the men behind feel secure, they will vote for him, compared to 74 percent for Blackburn. Overall, in five of the choice say that they could change before November. With a further eight per cent, election undecided in their vote, there is change room for the race.

Not everyone approves Trump back up Blackburn and this makes for a tight race. Go to the trumps of the approver, 76 per cent for Blackburn and 16 percent for Bredesen, who served as Governor of Tennessee from 2003 to 2011.

Bredesen receives 93 percent of the vote among Democrats, while Blackburn gets 83 percent of the GOP vote.

Blackburn will be up to 15 points for men, and 15 points between whites and 35 points among white Evangelical Christians. Bredesen is preferred as 9 points among women, 10 points among voters under 45 years of age, and 61 points among the non-white.

The economy is the top priority for Tennessee likely voters. Twenty-nine percent say that is very important to their vote for Senate, followed closely by 27 percent say that the health care system.

Economy, the voters choose Blackburn (+9), while the prioritization of health care going strong for Bredesen (+35).

The candidates are roughly equally popular, as just over half have a favorable opinion of Bredesen (54 favorable vs. 36 unfavorable) and Blackburn (51-39 percent).

“Bredesen is in striking distance of Blackburn, which is unusual for a Democrat in Tennessee,” says Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who conducts the Fox News poll with Democrat Chris Anderson.

“But Bredesen is personally popular, with a net favorable rating of +18, and he is up 13 points among those “very interested” in the race. This must cause some anxiety in the Blackburn camp.”

If the voters are asked to compare your family’s financial situation to two years ago, more than twice as many say things are better (34 percent) rather than worse (15 percent). For the half, 50 per cent, it is the same.

The views are divided on the President of the trade policy, as 39 percent, they will help the U.S. economy, and 37 percent say they are hurt.

In the race for Governor, Tennessee’s likely voters back the Republican Bill Lee (55 percent) over Democrat Karl Dean (35 percent) by 20 points. Sixteen percent of the respondents Bredesen in the Senate race, cross-party-lines to support Lee.

The Fox News poll is conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The poll was conducted September 8-11, 2018, by telephone (landline and cell phone) with live interviewers among 686 Tennessee likely voters and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Voters were selected randomly from a nationwide voter file and respondents answered the screening questions on the likelihood of voting in the elections in November.

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