‘Football team that scores just before the break, ending on average with a lower goal difference’

When a thuisteam just before the break scores instead of earlier during the first half, the less often a goal after the break and ends often with a lower goal difference.


This is evident from an analysis of 1,179 voetbalwedstrijdverslagen from the Champions League and the Europa League, reports the university of Ghent.

The findings were presented to national and international sport psychologists. “A first possible explanation is that a goal just before the break gives rise to decompression,” says professor Stijn Baert (Department of Social Economy). “A healthy press is possible, consciously or unconsciously, road and leads to loss of concentration, or less effort on the players.”

That first statement was consistent with further findings in the UGent-research. “A striker who scores a goal just before the break, has less of a chance to rest yet to score and, in particular, to after the rest the first to score”, says master’s student in Economic Sciences Simon Amez.

Growing self-confidence

A second explanation has to do with a growing self-confidence and self-awareness that a (home)team may be experienced if the, welcomed by the (home)audience, with a just scored goal to the dressing room can, according to researchers. “However, this can turn into overconfidence, with all the consequences. In addition, a higher self-awareness just lead to more (negative) press.”

A final explanation has to do with tactical interventions on the trainer while the rest represents, according to the university of Ghent. “The still nazinderende emotion of a goal obscures possible a good view on the appropriate relationships between the teams.” (Belga/NSK)

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